Tag Archives: Arab Spring

Three Troubling Scenarios for Turkey and Transatlantic Partners

AHIPAC is active in foreign policy issues affe...

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

German Marshall Fund of the United States, September 2012

Almost two years on from the start of the Arab Spring, the situation across the Middle East and the Mediterranean continues to produce worrisome security challenges for Turkey and Ankara’s transatlantic partners. Amid these destabilizing changes, three scenarios stand out, and could prove transformative for the security environment in and around Turkey, with no less important implications for Europe and the United States. First, Syria’s civil war could drag on for as long as a decade, further destabilizing an already fragile neighborhood. Second, Iran could develop, or come close to developing, a nuclear weapon. Finally, tensions in Cyprus and the Eastern Mediterranean could escalate from a simmer to a boil… (more) http://ow.ly/1ms0M9

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Filed under Belfer Center, European Foreign Policy, German Marshall Fund (GMFUS), Think Tank, Turkey

The Prospects and Meaning of a Strategic EU-Turkey Dialogue on the Neighborhood

The European Union and Turkey

The European Union and Turkey (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Nathalie TocciGerman Marshall Fund of the United States, September 14, 2012

Mistrust and missed opportunities characterize one of the most important relationships in the European space — that between Turkey and the European Union. As the Arab Spring unfolds, the absence of a joint EUTurkey strategy to confront the shared challenges of the neighborhood becomes costlier by the day. From an EU perspective, the logic of cooperation with Turkey has become more compelling given the renewed significance of the Turkish model in the neighborhood. No longer a simplistic and static slogan, the Turkish experience has become a more dynamic and articulate notion that Arab leaders can explore as they grapple with the challenges of domestic change… (more) http://ow.ly/1mrY14

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Filed under European Foreign Policy, European Union, German Marshall Fund (GMFUS), Think Tank, Turkey

GMFUS: Turkey and Russia in the Arab Spring: Straining Old Rifts Further?

English: A map of Arab Spring countries update...

A map of Arab Spring countries updated and reframed to reflect the independence of South Sudan on 9 July 2011. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Gökhan BacikGerman Marshall Fund of the United States: The Arab Spring has put stress on certain fault lines between Turkey and Russia. How these fault lines might affect future Turkish-Russian relations will also have a region-wide significance. Will Turkey be able to sustain its positive strategy towards Russia after the Arab Spring? Or can the Arab Spring cause irreparable damage to Turkish-Russian relations?… (more) http://ow.ly/1m05JB

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Filed under European Foreign Policy, Russia, Think Tank, Turkey

IISS: The National – A simplistic sectarian lens magnifies extremist agenda

Map of predominantly Sunni or Shi'a regions in...

Map of predominantly Sunni or Shi’a regions in the world (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

By Emile Hokayem, Senior Fellow for Regional Security, IISS-Middle East, July 29, 2012

These days, there is a dark meta-narrative spreading in parts of the Arab world and beyond: if the previous decade was that of Shia ascendancy, this one will be about the revenge of the Sunnis. (more) http://ow.ly/1lJ7ey

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Filed under International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), Think Tank

GMFUS: Israel and Central Asia: Opportunities and Limits for Partnership in a Post-Arab Spring World

Central Asia Map

Central Asia Map (Photo credit: Cea.)

by Marlène Laruelle, GMFUS, July 18, 2012

Central Asian governments are just beginning to measure the effects of the changes of the Arab Spring on the emerging regional order. Central Asia is not part of the Middle East; however, it has direct relations with many of its actors, namely Turkey and Iran, as well as a growing relationship with both Israel and the United Arab Emirates. The post-Arab Spring regional order has jeopardized Israel’s geostrategic balance, and so that country is looking to deepen alliances in the Muslim world. Central Asian nations can fill that role.
(more) http://ow.ly/1lsJGI

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Filed under German Marshall Fund (GMFUS), Israel, Think Tank, Turkey