Central Asia, Region Pamir Alai, Fan Mountains (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Sébastien Peyrouse, German Marshall Fund of the U.S., August 29, 2012
The events that shook the autonomous Gorno-Badakhshan region in eastern Tajikistan in July shed light on the internal fragility of some of Afghanistan’s neighbors, and the need to better assess the real sources of instability in Central Asia. The Tajik government often posits that it is fighting Islamic insurgents from Afghanistan, mostly foreigners belonging to the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan and allies of the Taliban. But many observers reject this argument… (more) http://ow.ly/1mbSTe
Map of Collective Security Treaty Organization (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
By Marlène Laruelle, German Marshall Fund of the United States, August 24, 2012
When Uzbekistan announced its withdrawal from the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization, no one was surprised. The country was dissatisfied with the organization due to conflicting values and principles, and it also wanted to free itself from historical Russian domination. The withdrawal opens the question of how heavy a blow the Uzbek withdrawal is to Moscow’s strategic leadership in Central Asia. The answer is mixed… (more) http://ow.ly/1m7rrK
The president of Kazakhstan, Nursultan Nazarbayev (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
GPF Europe: from Trend, E. Kosolapova, July 28, 2012
Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev and British Prime Minister David Cameron discussed state and prospects of bilateral relations in London, Kazakh Presidential press-service reported. (more) http://ow.ly/1lHyKn
Central Asia (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
GMFUS: Senior Director for Foreign Policy and Civil Society Enders Wimbush testified on Tuesday, July 24th before the House Subcommittee on Europe and Eurasia.
In his testimony, Wimbush argued that, to the United States’ detriment, Central Asia has been largely ignored in American strategic thinking. He pointed out that Central Asia, no longer under Russia’s control, is beginning to implement independent foreign policies. Wimbush also noted that China, which has been steadily increasing its presence in Central Asia through investment and trade, seeks to supplant Russia, fill a vacuum created by the American departure from Afghanistan, and flank India on its northern frontier. Turkey, Iran and some Arab states are also actively seeking to increase their competitive advantage in the region, making this strategic competition in Central Asia a game with multiple players. U.S. interests will be challenged from many directions not only by competitors who doubt the American commitment to maintaining strategic balance in the region, but also dynamics that will be harder to contain in this region. Two factors that will challenge the United States include enhanced drug trade via Central Asian routes to Europe and greater dangers from radical Islamist tendencies, which find Central Asia both accessible and resonant.
Central Asia Map (Photo credit: Cea.)
by Marlène Laruelle, GMFUS, July 18, 2012
Central Asian governments are just beginning to measure the effects of the changes of the Arab Spring on the emerging regional order. Central Asia is not part of the Middle East; however, it has direct relations with many of its actors, namely Turkey and Iran, as well as a growing relationship with both Israel and the United Arab Emirates. The post-Arab Spring regional order has jeopardized Israel’s geostrategic balance, and so that country is looking to deepen alliances in the Muslim world. Central Asian nations can fill that role.
Central Asia (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
GPF Europe: Migrants from Central Asia coming to Russia
Today, the bulk of immigrants to Russia come from Central Asia, and the trend is likely to remain over the next 10-15 years. The most recent Russian census showed that the number of Uzbeks, Tajiks, and Kyrgyz living in the country had roughly doubled since the previous count. (more) http://ow.ly/1lmix0
The structure of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
GMFUS: Central Asia’s Long-Term Questions Remain Unanswered After the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit
July 13, 2012 / Sébastien Peyrouse
Although the 12th Heads of State Summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization seems to have produced some more tangible results than those of the previous five years, the fact remains that the organization is a paper tiger in terms of security issues. Its prospects for creating a common economic space have been severely constrained. Its two largest members, Russia and China, are pursuing increasingly divergent policies. As seen from Central Asia, the future of the SCO, and especially its ability to efficiently address important, long-term challenges in the region, is more than ever in doubt. (more) http://ow.ly/1lkC24